Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.489580 18.040081 20.815714 24.052500 27.714797 31.721253 36.426875
2025-05-25 10.877998 14.282691 18.370525 23.599780 30.066892 37.755177 47.534488
2025-06-01 8.137564 11.780075 16.511704 23.017959 31.627656 42.515015 57.189415
2025-06-08 6.131880 9.682129 14.623791 21.853776 31.981548 45.458223 64.497244
2025-06-15 5.293850 8.983820 14.419294 22.779123 35.029273 51.990779 76.835694
2025-06-22 4.518360 8.207500 13.936699 23.162104 37.243561 57.445607 87.999130
2025-06-29 3.731574 7.253652 13.015925 22.717548 38.116243 60.963717 96.570226
2025-07-06 3.019286 6.283203 11.907242 21.799280 38.105735 63.091596 103.153863
2025-07-13 2.803762 6.155121 12.166982 23.101534 41.650942 70.768718 118.455146
2025-07-20 2.587979 5.984795 12.319426 24.215476 44.950498 78.244896 133.857375
2025-07-27 2.339013 5.702432 12.224743 24.869661 47.507476 84.672493 147.952752
2025-08-03 2.063016 5.312400 11.871485 25.005813 49.161326 89.706185 160.068347
2025-08-10 1.736954 4.777922 11.217490 24.614337 50.039762 93.825554 171.495645
2025-08-17 1.439664 4.249267 10.507393 24.055028 50.613261 97.564101 182.719230
2025-08-24 1.189444 3.771411 9.821971 23.446838 51.018057 101.015874 193.660496
2025-08-31 0.944870 3.239887 8.920744 22.261097 50.173561 102.151047 200.623206
2025-09-07 0.868313 3.148540 9.015190 23.200763 53.574233 111.171902 221.951386
2025-09-14 0.770674 2.970188 8.870287 23.589758 55.886282 118.313977 240.297095
2025-09-21 0.646998 2.675859 8.384260 23.138101 56.409313 122.105505 252.742052
2025-09-28 0.523933 2.342577 7.732832 22.205134 55.808881 123.673737 261.129842
2025-10-05 0.501350 2.350103 8.003234 23.528204 60.201308 135.247404 288.886036
2025-10-12 0.472921 2.328690 8.188999 24.659824 64.254285 146.367791 316.303859
2025-10-19 0.432112 2.248115 8.191075 25.324339 67.305608 155.640833 340.605306